Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 101905.820290 107362.518111 112811.638884 118657.910285 124749.001299 130904.441799 137591.367630
2025-08-03 92437.912612 100759.235515 109294.999460 118694.285231 128742.753344 139152.162941 150739.427536
2025-08-10 85880.301190 96175.831981 106962.811369 119085.016734 132305.217806 146262.521242 162088.937645
2025-08-17 80595.302038 92341.752988 104870.115452 119189.941172 135066.164207 152090.355915 171686.970045
2025-08-24 77089.599908 90090.799517 104172.361598 120503.072326 138864.372801 158814.007845 182070.239690
2025-08-31 73212.642329 87134.758597 102428.199369 120401.040989 140867.162712 163368.878298 189899.135369
2025-09-07 70861.606973 85727.108106 102264.227733 121928.917919 144574.521635 169733.298487 199691.828334
2025-09-14 68483.353184 84134.637234 101753.240719 122935.528971 147584.512991 175233.986960 208460.078815
2025-09-21 65844.787654 82099.053151 100605.327264 123089.454610 149513.769468 179425.799115 215680.868392
2025-09-28 63462.653243 80250.964588 99572.278893 123280.347299 151403.764398 183511.705027 222741.387025
2025-10-05 62244.773786 79723.550596 100036.666472 125185.334655 155268.111128 189875.871486 232462.876399
2025-10-12 60937.426758 79020.099445 100233.737745 126723.688948 158665.532066 195680.218988 241539.426776
2025-10-19 59327.302460 77906.058493 99910.849907 127628.182318 161320.487702 200649.648596 249708.502209
2025-10-26 57424.763499 76364.242880 99011.465051 127785.487469 163042.998086 204497.200071 256554.087816
2025-11-02 55785.482813 75089.348911 98384.760877 128227.744347 165074.555409 208695.062719 263820.424369
2025-11-09 54086.635118 73678.290659 97535.046175 128345.452733 166670.595269 212344.591161 270420.988673
2025-11-16 53102.576959 73137.508654 97736.623811 129741.662038 169823.399649 217880.882146 279329.265553
2025-11-23 51469.266663 71707.601462 96771.763779 129633.624308 171078.296341 221081.703013 285386.224825
2025-11-30 50717.721976 71391.979472 97194.229013 131256.381265 174483.448342 226927.006521 294712.344763
2025-12-07 49759.186254 70771.143025 97198.401065 132325.347301 177181.453107 231901.758388 302986.284304
2025-12-14 48450.591168 69647.316236 96519.419832 132488.800803 178712.656361 235418.196715 309458.466215
2025-12-21 47220.541355 68590.918355 95894.317230 132691.502369 180271.313998 238958.053490 315964.240308
2025-12-28 46814.856205 68624.815573 96679.294564 134714.137893 184157.851368 245430.914593 326174.231048